Thursday, October 30, 2014

NFL picks--Week 9

Last week: 11-4
Season record: 80-41

Last weekend, there was a point explosion.  Fantasy owners were either happy or mortified, and the casual NFL fan was treated to a great block of games overall.  This week, six teams are on bye again, so we only have thirteen games, meaning Red Zone will be more manageable with less split screens for the early games.  It's the little things, I tell you.  Now, let's have a look at that slate.....

New Orleans at Carolina--The, um, world beater Saints bring their 3-4 record to division leading Carolina (3-4-1).  Are both of these teams that mediocre?  We may find out tonight.  Panthers 24, Saints 23

Tampa Bay at Cleveland--This is the rubber match of Cleveland's trio of games against crappy teams.  They lost to Jacksonville, beat Oakland and now take on the hapless Bucs at home.  And LeBron has that city energized.  Browns 27, Bucs 16

Arizona at Dallas--I wonder if Jerry Jones will make Tony Romo take the field and risk paralyzing his investment.  Cowboys 20, Cardinals 14

Philadelphia at Houston--Texans are improved, but not this much.  Eagles 30, Texans 23

NY Jets at Kansas City--Wow, the Jets are horrible.  I mean, really horrible.  Chiefs 20, Jets 10

Jacksonville at Cincinnati--I can't figure this Bengals team out, can you?  I can, however, figure the Jags out.  Bengals 26, Jaguars 6

San Diego at Miami--Why do I feel like these teams just played each other?  Dolphins 23, Chargers 20

Washington at Minnesota--There is a weird QB controversy in DC, and it's hard to believe Kirk Cousins was the darling of football fans and fantasy owners everywhere just a few weeks ago.  Now he's lost his gig to Colt McCoy with RG3 almost ready to return.  You can't make this stuff up.  Vikings 21, Redskins 17

St. Louis at San Francisco--In a wacky division, it's still pretty clear that the Rams aren't equipped to beat any of their division foes on the road.  Unless of course Jeff Fisher calls fake punts all game.  Niners 28, Rams 13

Denver at New England--Same as it ever was, Brady vs. Manning.  The 6-1 Broncos vs. the 6-2 Patriots.   I don't think anyone would argue Denver has the better team, but Brady at home is pretty close to money in the bank.  Patriots 37, Broncos 35

Oakland at Seattle--So it looks like we have one decent game in the late slot, and it's not this one.  Seahawks 27, Raiders 3

Baltimore at Pittsburgh--Is it just me, or have the Steelers played like four straight home games?  Ravens 19, Steelers 17

Indianapolis at NY Giants--Andrew Luck's neck beard comes to New Jersey to face a rested Giants team that truly struggles against good teams.  This will be no exception.  Colts 38, Giants 31




Thursday, October 23, 2014

NFL picks--Week 8

Last week: 12-3
Season record: 69-37

The kid is rounding into form.  12-3 is definitely more like it and would have been better had the Browns not laid an egg in Jacksonville.  Anyway, here we go....

San Diego at Denver--I wanna say this will actually be a good game on Thursday Night Football.  But it wouldn't surprise me if the Broncos jump out to a 21-0 lead in the first 10 minutes like they seem to do every game.  Broncos 38, Chargers 24

Detroit vs. Atlanta at London--This is the breakfast special.  Seriously, a game at 9:30am Eastern time.  I don't have a problem with it, mind you, but it's kind of weird.  Lions 26, Falcons 20

Minnesota at Tampa Bay--Being that Tampa is 0-3 on the road already, you have to doubt Mike Glennon's Bucs can win one here.  But lucky for them the Vikings are pretty bad as well.  Bucs 20, Vikings 17

Buffalo at NY Jets--I think this is one of those games the Jets may not be favored in but that they will have one of their occasional good games.  And Buffalo still feels inconsistent despite their magic weapon Kyle Orton playing like Aaron Rodgers.  Okay, maybe not.  Jets 21, Bills 14

Chicago at New England--I'd be wary of an upset here too, but then again that Chicago locker room is a bit of a mess.  Patriots 31, Bears 24

Seattle at Carolina--Ooh boy, the Hawks are 3-3 and looking very beatable these days.  The Panthers are actually leading the NFC South at 3-3-1.  Can I predict a tie?  No?  Okay.  Seahawks 27, Panthers 26

Miami at Jacksonville--The Jags had a taste of victory, the Dolphins continue to play better on the road than at home.  Dolphins 23, Jaguars 16

Baltimore at Cincinnati--The Bengals seem to play the Ravens better than any other team does.  And they are pissed that they got embarrassed against Indy....especially because it's not even playoff time yet.  Bengals 20, Ravens 17

Houston at Tennessee--The Titans are starting some dude at QB I have never heard of.  JJ Watt just may end up eating that guy.  Texans 24, Titans 19

St. Louis at Kansas City--I wonder if Andy Reid will try to out-Fisher Jeff Fisher and do some crazy fakes or crazy plays.  You just know he's concocting something behind that mustache of his.  Wait, are we talking about Reid or Fisher?  Chiefs 27, Rams 17

Philadelphia at Arizona--The Eagles are rested but that doesn't mean this AZ defense won't bottle up LeSean McCoy enough to give them chances to tee off on Nick Foles.  Cards 23, Eagles 20

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh--Boy, this Colts team is becoming more frightening every week.  And I'm not just talking about Andrew Luck's half-man, half-monster voice.  Colts 30, Steelers 20

Oakland at Cleveland--The Browns need to get back on track, and the schedule gods seem to be favoring that to happen.  Browns 20, Raiders 13

Green Bay at New Orleans--Another pretty good game for a Sunday nighter.  Aaron Rodgers is in the zone, but the Saints are tough to beat in that dome.  Saints 28, Packers 26

Washington at Dallas--Another pretty bad game for a Monday nighter.  At least we can be entertained listening to Gruden spaz out like he did about that reverse for a left-handed TD pass by Antonio Brown last week.  Cowboys 41, Redskins 17









Thursday, October 16, 2014

NFL picks--Week 7

Last week: 9-6
Season record: 57-34

Week 7???  Man, this is what I hate about the NFL season.  If you don't stop and enjoy it while it's here, it's over before you can exhale.  So hey, let's stop and enjoy it while there are still 11 weeks of regular season to go....

NY Jets at New England--You know that since the Patriots should annihilate the Jets at this stage based on the last two weeks' games, the opposite will happen.  But then again, the Jets have scored only 96 points and have given up 158.  Yikes.  And Brady is pissed again, so look out.  Patriots 31, Jets 17

Minnesota at Buffalo--Is anyone else slightly weirded out by the Vikings playing home games outdoors?  Of course, this game is in Buffalo, but I digress.  Bills 27, Vikings 23

Miami at Chicago--Which one of these teams is more mediocre than the other?  Bears 24, Dolphins 16

New Orleans at Detroit--So the Lions' offense is supposedly modeled after the Saints, but they've given up the fewest points in the league so far so are winning with defense.  The Saints, meanwhile, are underachieving.  Lions 29, Saints 26

Carolina at Green Bay--It's pretty clear that the Packers are crap without Aaron Rodgers, no?  Packers 24, Panthers 20

Cincinnati at Indianapolis--This one appears to be one of this week's marquee games.  And the Bengals sort of appear mortal.  Colts 27, Bengals 21

Seattle at St. Louis--Finally the Hawks' defense has a good match up to dominate against, but 2014 has been so strange and the Rams have been strange for a few years now under Jeff Fisher.  Go with the champs here.  Seahawks 27, Rams 13

Tennesssee at Washington--It's amazing the talk of RG3 returning is getting louder.  Redskins 28, Titans 14

Cleveland at Jacksonville--It would be just like the Browns to lose this game, but alas, under Mike Pettine this Browns team seems like they are for real.  Browns 35, Jaguars 20

Atlanta at Baltimore--Wait, Joe Flacco threw for how many touchdowns last week?  Five, and they were damn near all in the first quarter.  And he faces another generous NFC South team this Sunday.  Ravens 37, Falcons 24

Kansas City at San Diego--This is my upset special this week.  The Chiefs had an extra week to prepare and the Bolts are due for a letdown.  Chiefs 26, Chargers 24

NY Giants at Dallas--This is an exercise in contrast.  Romo, Witten and Dez have beat up on the Giants before, but they are playing at another level now, and actually have a defense.  Cowboys 41, Giants 17

Arizona at Oakland--Maybe the Raiders are more competitive under Tony Soprano (yeah I know that's not how you spell it but it's more fun this way), but this AZ team is in first place in maybe the toughest division in the NFL.  Cardinals 22, Raiders 19

San Francisco at Denver--Shades of Montana vs. Elway in the Super Bowl.  Okay, maybe not.  Broncos 34, Niners 31 

Houston at Pittsburgh--If Miami/Chicago is the Mediocrity Bowl, this one is Mediocrity Bowl II.  I would like to formally apply for the position of picking which games to air on Monday Night Football.  Steelers 19, Texans 16


Thursday, October 9, 2014

NFL picks--Week 6

Last week: 11-4
Season record: 48-28

There's still a lot of weird results in the NFL this season, and no reason to believe it will stop happening.  So let's roll our dice.....

Houston at Indianapolis--The talk this week is all about the recent string of blowouts on Thursday Night Football.  This game can go that way as well, with the Colts rounding into form and the Texans being erratic.  It's in Houston, so I'll go out on a limb and say no blowout.  Texans 24, Colts 20

Pittsburgh at Cleveland--Let's see how many points the Browns spot their opponent this week.  Browns 27, Steelers 24

New England at Buffalo--The Bills tend to give the Pats fits, and both teams are about as hard to predict as any this season.  But I think Billy Boy is starting to put things together.  Patriots 20, Bills 16

Carolina at Cincinnati--With or without AJ Green, it's not smart to bet against the Bengals at home.  Bengals 19, Panthers 12

Jacksonville at Tennessee--Oh boy, it's about to get ugly in Nashville.  Jaguars 28, Titans 26

Green Bay at Miami--With these teams playing each other every four years, I wonder if in 2018 Miami will be under water.  No worries if so, they can play their slate of home games in London.
Packers 20, Dolphins 17

Detroit at Minnesota--I think it's safe to say the Lions are snake bit.  Vikings 27, Lions 23

Denver at NY Jets--Um, you may want to cover your eyes here.  Broncos 37, Jets 20

Baltimore at Tampa Bay--I so wanna pick the Bucs here....they've come to life lately.  But, uh, no.
Ravens 21, Bucs 17

San Diego at Oakland--Seriously, who saw the Chargers being this good?  Everyone saw the Raiders being this bad.  Chargers 35, Raiders 14

Chicago at Atlanta--Matt Ryan is back in the comfort of his own dome.  That is all.  Falcons 41, Bears 31

Dallas at Seattle--Isn't this where Tony Romo fumbled the snap for a potential game-winning field goal in the playoffs?  The Cowboys may be resurgent, but they are going to fail this test miserably.
Seahawks 30, Cowboys 16

Washington at Arizona--It's hilarious how Kirk Cousins isn't talked about as a golden boy anymore.  If anything, everyone is wondering when RG3 comes back.  Cardinals 23, Redskins 17

NY Giants at Philadelphia--The Giants are looking like contenders again, almost miraculously after those first two games.  The Eagles are scoring points mostly on defense, special teams, and smoke and mirrors.  Throw it all out the window.  These teams hate each other and the Eagles seem to have the Giants number most of the time.  Eagles 38, Giants 35

San Francisco at St. Louis--Thankfully, Monday is an off night for the Cardinals in their NLCS against the Giants.  Otherwise there might be like five people at this game.  Niners 21, Rams 17

Saturday, October 4, 2014

NFL picks--Week 5

Last week: 8-5
Season record: 37-24

My apologies that this is a few days later that usual.  And I hope you believe me when I say I would have picked the Packers over the Vikings on Thursday night.  It's not always easy picking which team will blow out the other on Thursday Night Football, but it's easy predicting that there will be a blowout.  Here are the rest of the games.....

Chicago at Carolina--These teams are both a bit schizophrenic, especially considering the Bears are 2-0 on the road and 0-2 at home.  I think that streak ends here.  Panthers 20, Bears 17

Cleveland at Tennessee--Man, I so want to pick the Browns here, but my sixth sense won't let me.  Titans 23, Browns 19

St. Louis at Philadelphia--What, they couldn't put this one on Thursday night?  Eagles 30, Rams 14

Atlanta at NY Giants--See, this is why being a Giants fan makes me crazy.  Suddenly everyone is on their bandwagon and everyone is off the Falcons' bandwagon.  Which means Eli will throw 3-4 picks in this and the Giants will find a way to lose.  Falcons 31, Giants 27

Tampa Bay at New Orleans--Wow, the Saints have issues, don't they?  Everyone seemed to pick them for the Super Bowl...not so much now.  Saints 38, Bucs 17

Houston at Dallas--A very interesting battle of Texas.  Right now the Cowboys are clicking and I can't see them losing this in-state rivalry.  Cowboys 27, Texans 20

Buffalo at Detroit--I can't go against the Lions at home right now.  Lions 34, Bills 16

Baltimore at Indianapolis--Ignore the records (Baltimore 3-1, Indy 2-2), this Indianapolis team is suddenly emerging as an offensive powerhouse.  Colts 35, Ravens 31

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville--If you can figure the Steelers out, you are smarter than me.  The Jags, on the other hand, are easy to figure out.  They still stink.  Steelers 31, Jaguars 24

Arizona at Denver--Yikes.  Suddenly everyone is on the Cardinals.  And they have the D to drive Peyton Manning crazy.  But I just don't see it here.  Broncos 23, Cardinals 19

Kansas City at San Francisco--The Alex Smith is Bitter Bowl.  Niners 24, Chiefs 17

NY Jets at San Diego--Can Andrew Siciliano stop calling it SON Diego?  Whatever he calls it, the team is pretty good.  Chargers 20, Jets 13

Cincinnati at New England--I'm just not sure the Pats have this thing figured out yet.  And they are about to play against a buzz saw.  Bengals 17, Patriots 16

Seattle at Washington--The Skins have had 10 days to rest while the Hawks have had 14.  If the Giants can crush this team in DC, I'm kind of afraid for Kirk Cousins on Monday night.  Seattle 30, Redskins 17




Thursday, September 25, 2014

NFL picks--Week 4

Last week: 11-5
Season record: 29-19

The kid is rounding into mid-season form.  Of course, that doesn't mean that there aren't wild surprises abounding in this league.  With that, here are the Week 4 picks.....

NY Giants at Washington--I am gently patting myself on the back for picking my Giants last week when pretty much no one else did.  This week, ehh, I have a feeling that bad Eli will return and Kirk Cousins will pick them apart.  Redskins 35, Giants 31

Green Bay at Chicago--Is Aaron Rodgers trying to hypnotize fans into sleeping through his team's crappy play?  They sure haven't shown much but they do tend to play well against the Bears.  Packers 27, Bears 24

Tennessee at Indianapolis--After a dreadful 0-2 start, the Colts can get back on track and they for sure will.  Colts 27, Titans 13

Miami vs. Oakland at London--It's laughable that the two teams we send over there are teams with a combined 1-5 record that may be worse than that.  Raiders 20, Dolphins 14

Detroit at NY Jets--It's hard not to like what the Lions are doing, but they may struggle against the Jets' D.  Still, the Jets continue to find ways to lose games and the Lions are just too good in all phases.  Lions 28, Jets 20

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh--Despite the Bucs having ten days to prep for this one, the rejuvenated Steelers are going to trounce them.  Mike Glennon, huh?  Steelers 31, Bucs 17

Carolina at Baltimore--There is no way Steve Smith will be on my fantasy bench this weekend.  Actually the way he's playing he might be a must play every week but this one will have a bit more meaning.  Ravens 23, Panthers 20

Buffalo at Houston--At least Buffalo is done with the false hope thing.  Houston, meanwhile, I can't figure out how they got just shredded that badly by the Giants.  Texans 26, Bills 20

Jacksonville at San Diego--I get the feeling we're going to have to take the Chargers seriously, but not the Jags.  Chargers 37, Jaguars 17

Atlanta at Minnesota--Some NFL talking head commented yesterday on how badly Matt Ryan plays outside of domes.  That said, it will be 82 degrees and sunny on Sunday in Minneapolis so something else will determine this game--namely the Vikings' D under Mike Zimmer.  Vikings 19, Falcons 16

Philadelphia at San Francisco--I don't think the Niners are this bad, are they?  I also think the Eagles may be for real but Chip Kelly's luck will run out Sunday.  Niners 24, Eagles 23

New Orleans at Dallas--Everyone sure liked the Saints before the season started, before they promptly went 0-2 before limping to a win against Minnesota at home.  Now Drew Brees faces a putrid Dallas secondary and Rob Ryan will try to stop his former team.  I'm not a betting man, but I'd take the over if I was.  Saints 41, Cowboys 38

New England at Kansas City--I really wonder what the Monday Night Football schedulers are thinking sometimes.  Patriots 26, Chiefs 19




Thursday, September 18, 2014

NFL Picks--Week 3

Last week: 9-7
Season record: 18-14

As usual, it's been more difficult to pick games the first two weeks of September than at most other times during the NFL season.  But now we have to start getting a feel for the games and the teams that find ways to win or find ways to lose.  Here we go...

Tampa Bay at Atlanta--Oh boy, the NFC South!  What else is on tonight?  I'm only half-kidding, despite having desperately missed football for 7 months.  Falcons 31, Bucs 16

San Diego at Buffalo--While San Diego is typically as hard to predict as any NFL team from week to week, the Bills have shown grit by beating Chicago on the road and crushing Miami at home.  I would not bet against them right now.  Bills 27, Chargers 26

Dallas at St. Louis--It's a good thing I don't get paid to do this anymore.  Seriously, look at both Cowboys games and both Rams games this year and you tell me who will win.  Okay, I'll do it.  Cowboys 20, Rams 17

Washington at Philadelphia--It's the DeSean returns to Philly game, and don't think he's not going to rub their noses in it when he and Kirk Cousins shred the Eagles D.  Redskins 30, Eagles 28

Houston at NY Giants--The G-men are who I thought they were, the Texans are so far over-achieving a bit under Bill O'Brien.  All logic points to Houston, but I just have a feeling the Giants will steal this game somehow.  Giants 27, Texans 24

Minnesota at New Orleans--In case you haven't noticed, the Vikings won't have Adrian Peterson for a while.  All that Rob Ryan has to do this week is game plan for sandwiches and eat Matt Cassel.  I mean game plan for Cassel and eat sandwiches.  I think.  Saints 38, Vikings 17

Tennessee at Cincinnati--When I see these two teams meet, I can't help but think about the difference between Pacman Jones and Adam Jones.  The same guy....but the latter has less hair and NFL suspensions than the former.  Oh and the Bengals are pretty good.  Bengals 27, Titans 6

Baltimore at Cleveland--Just because Art Modell is no longer with us, doesn't mean Cleveland can't still hate the guy or the "old Browns."  Browns 22, Ravens 20

Green Bay at Detroit--This really depends on which Lions team shows up.  And which Packers team shows up.  Both are explosive but the Lions have the stronger D.  Lions 38, Packers 35

Indianapolis at Jacksonville--If the Colts start 0-3 and Curtis Painter isn't on the roster, there will be a problem in Indy.  That said, they are not a bad team.  They just drew Denver and Philly to open the season, but now they have to win a game they should win.  Colts 29, Jaguars 21

Oakland at New England--I heard that the Tuck Rule is no longer.  That's good, because we sure don't want to see replays of that anymore.  Somehow though, you know it's still coming, right after they show a replay of RG3's ankle snapping.  Patriots 41, Raiders 14

San Francisco at Arizona--This one is surprisingly intriguing.  I mean, it sure seems like there are a lot of good teams in the NFC these days, particularly teams with good defenses.  Cardinals 16, Niners 13

Denver at Seattle--The rematch of the Super Bowl will take place in Seattle, meaning it will be the loudest game in NFL history, and a repeat of the result would not be shocking to anyone.  Seahawks 27, Broncos 17

Kansas City at Miami--I'm not even sure if I will play Knile Davis in place of Jamaal Charles this weekend, because it seems like every game in Miami is 6-3 at the half and ends up 13-10.  Blah.  Dolphins 17, Chiefs 14

Pittsburgh at Carolina--Everyone who slept on the Panthers in making 2014 predictions is re-thinking that.  Including me.  Panthers 24, Steelers 10

Chicago at NY Jets--If you take a football and fling it as far as you can, Brandon Marshall will stick his hand up and catch it.  Bears 27, Jets 20