Thursday, December 11, 2014

NFL picks--Week 15

Last week: 10-6
Season record: 127-65

Week 15.  Dang.....I was in one fantasy league and I'm out of the playoffs.  Despite having the third highest point total, I went 5-9 because I had the third most points against.  I hate that stupid game sometimes.  Meanwhile, the season is barreling by, so we have to enjoy it while it's still here.  Let's check out this full slate of games....

Arizona at St. Louis--First of all, Jeff Fisher has balls of titanium.  Sending the six players the Rams drafted in the RG3 trade for the coin flip last weekend was breathtakingly ballsy, and I loved it.  I bet Dan Snyder didn't love it.  Or Robert Griffin.  The Rams also have beat their last two opponents 76-0.  Sure, it was against Oakland and Washington but that team is scary and will be really scary next season.  Meanwhile, everyone is off the Cardinals bandwagon.  They should win this game, but they probably won't.  Rams 17, Cards 16

Pittsburgh at Atlanta--I'm glad I don't make my living doing this, because it's impossible to figure this league out from week to week this season and here are two teams that are all over the place.  Steelers 38, Falcons 34

Washington at NY Giants--Despite my Giants looking mighty dysfunctional, they don't compare in that category to the Skins.  Yikes, what a clown show that has become.  The Giants have actually looked pretty good in many of their games before shitting the bed too often.  Sunday will not be one of those days.  Giants 30, Redskins 23

Miami at New England--The Patriots almost never lose in December and/or at home, so yeah, I feel confident with this pick.  Patriots 27, Dolphins 17

Oakland at Kansas City--The Chiefs are on the outside looking in to the playoff picture, and despite the Raiders playing well of late, including a win against KC a few weeks ago, they won't repeat that result here.  Chiefs 20, Raiders 10

Houston at Indianapolis--The Texans, much improved, are also on the outside looking in.  And all anyone says is that they have never won in Indy.  So no reason to believe that streak is snapped Sunday.  Colts 37, Texans 24

Cincinnati at Cleveland--All eyes on Johnny Manziel for his first NFL start, but the Bengals are seeking revenge from that Thursday night thrashing.  Cleveland sports teams have a way of disappointing their fans, but this is different.  The team is exciting and very close to being for real.  Browns 24, Bengals 23

Jacksonville at Baltimore--Yeah, no.  Ravens 26, Jags 3

Green Bay at Buffalo--Well if it's a blizzard it's not like the Packers won't feel at home.  But it's supposed to be 40 degrees.  Packers 33, Bills 26

Tampa Bay at Carolina--Cam Newton feels lucky to be alive after a pretty bad car accident two days ago.  Derek Anderson will start in his place Sunday and it's hard to imagine them not riding a wave of emotion to a win.  Panthers 21, Bucs 17

NY Jets at Tennessee--Somehow I don't think the Jets will hang 36 on the Titans like the Giants did last week.  Titans 20, Jets 17

Denver at San Diego--As good as Denver is, they are 3-3 on the road this year, and the Chargers 5-2 at home.  Philip Rivers is almost unbeatable in December too, so I'm calling the upset.  Chargers 30, Broncos 27

Minnesota at Detroit--This could be a trap game for the Lions, but I think they hang on for their tenth win.  Lions 22, Vikings 19

San Francisco at Seattle--The Niners are reeling, bad.  If the Hawks held them to 3 points on Thanksgiving night in San Fran, there is no reason to expect a different outcome here.  Seahawks 27, Niners 13

Dallas at Philadelphia--Another Thanksgiving Day rematch, and another that should have a similar result.  Eagles 38, Cowboys 31

New Orleans at Chicago--Though not the clunker other Monday nighters have been, ESPN just has a problem picking games every NFL fan wants to watch.  Saints 30, Bears 20










Friday, December 5, 2014

NFL picks--rest of Week 14

Last week: 7-9
Last night: 1-0
Season record: 118-59

Let's get to the rest of the picks and hopefully build on last night's success....


Pittsburgh at Cincinnati--The AFC North is pretty remarkable in that each team is above .500.  I can't figure out who will rise up and take the division, can you?  Bengals 26, Steelers 20

St. Louis at Washington--Jeff Fisher has his Rams playing really well.  We knew they had a killer D but raise your hand if you saw 52 points against the Raiders coming.  That's what I thought.  Redskins 19, Rams 16

NY Giants at Tennessee--In the big scheme, the Giants have kind of stooped to the bottom of the barrel after being upset by Jacksonville.  I think they have a better team than their record, but I can't pick them until they prove me wrong.  Titans 20, Giants 17

Carolina at New Orleans--Cam is just a shell of himself, isn't he?  The Saints smell blood and will take that crappy division.  Saints 38, Panthers 17

NY Jets at Minnesota--I think this Vikings team has the potential to be scary with Bridgewater and if he comes back, Adrian Peterson.  But meanwhile, they'll lose a lot of games while being fun to watch.  You can't say that for the Jets.  Vikings 22, Jets 16

Baltimore at Miami--Two teams fighting for their playoff lives, so expect a dogfight.  (sorry, Mike Vick!).  Ravens 23, Dolphins 20

Indianapolis at Cleveland--I'm not sure if  Brian Hoyer will respond to keeping his gig for now, or if he will hear the pitter patter of Johnny Football's footsteps.  I wanna pick the Browns but I think the Colts are just too good.  Colts 31, Browns 23

Tampa Bay at Detroit--There is just no way the Lions lose this game.  They are vying for the division against a talented Green Bay team and vying for a wild card too among some more great teams in Dallas, Philly, Seattle and Arizona.  This is a lay-up they can't flub.  Lions 27, Bucs 10

Houston at Jacksonville--The Texans are still in it at 6-6 but there are too many 7-5 teams to jump over.  But they have already overachieved based on last year in Bill O'Brien's first year.  Texans 28, Jags 20

Buffalo at Denver--Don't look now, the Bills are one of those aforementioned 7-5 teams.  But they are just going to be outclassed here.  Broncos 42, Bills 20

Kansas City at Arizona--The Cards have looked mortal losing two straight, but look for a rebound at home against a reeling Chiefs' squad.  Cards 19, Chiefs 16

Seattle at Philadelphia--One of the week's best games, and the Eagles can just about punch their ticket to January football if they win Sunday.  The Hawks are just 3-3 on the road while the Eagles are 6-0 at home.  That kind of gives a good indication.  Eagles 30, Seahawks 27

San Francisco at Oakland--Wow, four games in the 4pm ET hour!  Last week there were two and Red Zone showed two punts at once.  Seriously, they need balance in the weekly schedule.  Niners 37, Raiders 10

New England at San Diego--I credit Rich Eisen for this amazing stat--Tom Brady has the second best winning percentage in NFL history in December at 40-8.  But Philip Rivers is ranked first, with a 29-3 record in December.  Holy crap.  Patriots 27, Chargers 26

Atlanta at Green Bay--The Packers are 6-0 at home, and the Falcons are a fraud of a first place team.  That will be evident Monday night.  Oh and once again, what a crappy MNF matchup!  Packers 45, Falcons 21






Thursday, December 4, 2014

NFL picks--Week 14 TNF

Last week: 7-9
Season record: 117-59

Um, 7-9?  Me?  That's not good.  That's not what you've come to expect from this amateur prognosticator, is it?  Well let's do something about that.....we have a full slate of games again this week but we're just going to pick the game tonight and do the rest tomorrow. 

Dallas at Chicago--The Cowboys took a step backward last week on Turkey Day and now everyone is thinking that Tony Romo's annual swoon has commenced.  Of course, the Bears have been in the tank mode most of the entire season.  Cowboys 27, Bears 20


Wednesday, November 26, 2014

NFL picks--Week 13

Last week: 11-4
Season record: 117-59

I have four words for you--NO MORE BYE WEEKS.  Right as the fantasy postseason looms and the weather is getting colder in most NFL cities, we have a full slate of games the last five weeks of the season.  And as one of football's great traditions, there will be games on Thanksgiving Day, which is tomorrow--three of them, and they are all NFC divisional rivalries.  Oh yeah!  So let's see what's on tap and how we expect the games to shake out....

Chicago at Detroit--I'm not sure what's more amazing.  That the Lions have the fewest points allowed in the NFL (190) or that only four teams have scored fewer points (Oakland, Tennessee, Jacksonville, NY Jets).  Seriously, a team with Calvin Johnson and Matt Stafford and Golden Tate and Reggie Bush and Joique Bell should not struggle to put up points, right?  The Bears, they are a completely different story, and not a good one.  Lions 23, Bears 17

Philadelphia at Dallas--As a Giants fan, my hatred for these two teams runs deep.  It runs even deeper when they are both competing for the NFC East title and a first round bye.  But this season, I hate the Eagles just a little less.  Cowboys 34, Eagles 31

Seattle at San Francisco--The Richard Sherman/Michael Crabtree rematch.  Both teams have struggled a little more than you'd expect after playing for the NFC title ten months ago, and while this one could go either way, I have this funny feeling about Kaepernick for tomorrow.  Niners 26, Seahawks 24

Washington at Indianapolis--Wow, the Skins are a mess.  RG3 has been benched for Colt McCoy, which means this Dan Snyder abomination has seen both RG3 and Kirk Cousins play themselves out of a job.  Meanwhile, the Colts are set at the QB position for the next 15 years or so.  Again.  Colts 37, Redskins 20

Tennessee at Houston--Okay so there is a full slate of games, but this is one of them.  Texans 24, Titans 13

Cleveland at Buffalo--I think it's still snowing in Buffalo.  This game is technically the Snow Belt Bowl, but for the first time in years both teams have something to play for.  Browns 19, Bills 16

San Diego at Baltimore--These teams are so evenly matched that they are both 7-4 and each have just one loss at home.  Well, at least that makes it easy to pick this game.  Ravens 27, Chargers 20

NY Giants at Jacksonville--Tom Coughlin returns to his old stomping grounds, and his Giants are playing so bad they may remind him of the Jags' expansion season.  Jaguars 23, Giants 13

Cincinnati at Tampa Bay--The Bengals are clinging to the division lead in the AFC North at 7-3-1, while the Bucs are still in contention for a division title in the NFC South at 2-9!  Two and NINE.  There are seriously no words here.  Bengals 24, Bucs 6

Oakland at St. Louis--The Raiders may be feeling frisky after beating the Chiefs for win number one last Thursday, but they will be lucky to put up any points at all against this Rams' D.  Rams 17, Raiders 3

New Orleans at Pittsburgh--Well, the Saints can't blame the fact that their head coach was suspended.  This time, they just aren't playing well, period.  Or maybe they think they have a great shot at the NFC South title even if they win 6 games.  Steelers 30, Saints 27

Carolina at Minnesota--I wonder if DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart will still be the Panthers' backfield combo in 2027.  Panthers 20, Vikings 16

Arizona at Atlanta--A classic clash of division leaders, yet the Cards have more than twice the number of wins (9) as the Falcons (4).  Cards 16, Falcons 13

New England at Green Bay--The game of the week could be the game of the year, and a rematch of Super Bowl 31.  Get your popcorn ready.  For my money, Brady and Rodgers are the two best QBs in the game.  Patriots 41, Packers 38

Denver at Kansas City--It would be awesome if KC followed up that loss to the Raiders with an upset of the Broncos.  And you know what?  I think it's more than possible.  Chiefs 31, Broncos 27

Miami at NY Jets--I'm seriously taking privileges away from ESPN to carry Monday Night Football if they can't pick competitive games.  They've had some of the most horrendous matchups of the season on MNF, prompting all of us to watch 2 Broke Girls instead.  Dolphins 22, Jets 10










 


Thursday, November 20, 2014

NFL picks--Week 12

Last week: 9-5
Season record: 106-55

In this wacky NFL season, it just doesn't get any easier to pick these games, does it?  I did put a feather in my own cap for picking the Rams to beat the Broncos.  From what I could tell, I was the only person in the civilized world that did.  But I got five wrong last week too.  My biggest blunder was taking the Browns over the Texans, but I wasn't the only one.  And who saw the Bengals beating the Saints in the dome?  Yikes.  With that, let's have a look at Week 12 (another yikes, this season is going too fast for my liking). 

Kansas City at Oakland--Oh how I wanted to pick the Raiders here.  They haven't won a game since like last October, but division games are always strange, and the Raiders haven't exactly shit the bed every game.  Okay, maybe a few turds.  But then I realized that Andy Reid will have his hot KC team ready and I wised up.  Chiefs 27, Raiders 17

Cleveland at Atlanta--So now that the DIVISION LEADING Falcons smell blood, they may actually start playing better.  Otherwise, let's face it, a 6-10 team could make the playoffs.  The Browns came back down to earth last Sunday against Houston but this defense will not scare them like one with JJ Watt and that Clowney fella.  And Josh Gordon is back.  Browns 23, Falcons 20

Tennessee at Philadelphia--The Titans made things interesting against Pittsburgh, and we'll see if Mark Sanchez last week just had a bad game or if he's still the same buttfumbler the Jets let go of.  Eagles 37, Titans 13

Detroit at New England--This is a tough one.  The Patriots are positively on fire, but the Lions have the NFL's best defense.  Not only that, they are number 1 against the rush and number 1 against the pass.  That is scary.  But I can't bet against Brady and Belichick at home.  Patriots 26, Lions 20

Green Bay at Minnesota--The cold on Minnesota's frozen tundra isn't much different than Green Bay's.  Packers 40, Vikings 24

Jacksonville at Indianapolis--After that rude awakening against New England, at least the Colts have a lay up here.  Colts 33, Jaguars 9

Cincinnati at Houston--The way things are going, we could very easily see these two mediocre teams meet in the playoffs again.  I wish they could both lose this game.  Texans 21, Bengals 17

NY Jets at Buffalo--Did I hear correctly that there are six FEET of snow in Buffalo?  Holy crap.  If they actually get to play this one, it won't be very entertaining, so why bother?  Bills 20, Jets 10

Tampa Bay at Chicago--Don't think Lovie Smith didn't circle this one on his calendar.  Bucs 27, Bears 24

Arizona at Seattle--It's been a nice season for the Cards, but this is a major test and I don't think they pass it.  Seahawks 19, Cards 16

St. Louis at San Diego--Don't be fooled by some of the upsets the Rams have dished out.  They are still the Rams.  Chargers 23, Rams 13

Miami at Denver--There sure are a lot of games I don't care about this week.  On paper, the Dolphins' D may give Peyton fits, but a few Omahas and he'll be good to go.  Broncos 30, Dolphins 17

Washington at San Francisco--Oh boy, here are two teams with some locker room issues.  At least the Niners are winning.  The Redskins have a serious QB dilemma and it seems to not matter who coaches this team, there are always issues and losses mounting.  Niners 31, Redskins 10

Dallas at NY Giants--I just don't get why NBC didn't flex out of this one, so now I get to watch my Giants lay another egg on national TV.  Get your popcorn ready.  Cowboys 41, Giants 24

Baltimore at New Orleans--Wait, does New Orleans play any road games?  Saints 26, Ravens 23





Friday, November 14, 2014

NFL picks--Week 11

Last week: 8-5
Season record: 97-50

Okay, so I'm slipping and slacking a bit.  Slipping in my pick-age and slacking that I am getting these up a day late.  Regardless, let's see....I should first say I would have picked Miami last night.  Last week I told you I would have picked Cincinnati so you know I would not cheat.  So, with that, let's see what the rest of the slate looks like. 

Minnesota at Chicago--For me this conjures up memories of Chuck Foreman and Walter Payton, and these teams had some epic games in the '70's.  Alas it's 2014 and both of them are tumbling.  Bears 20, Vikings 17

Houston at Cleveland--A letdown would be natural for the Browns after they absolutely destroyed the Bengals in Cincinnati, where the home team almost never loses.  But these Browns are different and I'm rooting for them.  Browns 20, Texans 13

Atlanta at Carolina--Talk about teams that are tumbling.  Wow, there are some disappointments this year, and also some feel good stories like the Browns.  Panthers 21, Falcons 20

Cincinnati at New Orleans--The Bengals were #1 in a lot of power rankings a few weeks ago.  The Saints were a preseason Super Bowl pick for many.  Now it's a game between two mediocre teams possibly going in opposite directions.  Oh, and Jimmy Graham....that was dumb.  I can say that knowing you're a couple thousand miles away.  Saints 31, Bengals 17

Tampa Bay at Washington--Wait, is RG3 still the QB?  Is Kirk Cousins still a Redskin?  Is Lovie Smith a bad coach or was he dealt a crappy team?  These are the things I think about when I have nothing else to think about.  Redskins 34, Bucs 20

Denver at St. Louis--My boy Drew Magary accurately said in his column on Deadspin yesterday that Peyton Manning loses big games because he unravels when things don't go exactly his way.  This is so true.  On Sunday, Jeff Fisher's Rams are going to give Manning all the defense he can handle, just like Seattle did in the Super Bowl.  Oh yeah, upset city.  Rams 23, Broncos 20

San Francisco at NY Giants--Oh Giants, why do you torture me so?  Well he's the good news.  The Niners are back in the hunt and the Giants are not, so there are no expectations on my team anymore.  Just get a good draft pick.  Niners 37, Giants 24

Seattle at Kansas City--The Seahawks are vulnerable on the road, and the Chiefs are pretty good at home.  You can see where I'm going here, though I'm having a hard time actually pulling the trigger.  Chiefs 20, Seahawks 19

Oakland at San Diego--Since Tony Sparano took over for Dennis Allen, the Raiders are what, 0-4?  He's about to match Allen's record in 2014.  So much for burying that football before his first game.  Chargers 27, Raiders 10

Detroit at Arizona--Holy moly, the late games (except for the one above this) are awesome.  This game could quite possibly be a preview of the NFC title game.  Cards 19, Lions 16

Philadelphia at Green Bay--Holy moly, this game could also quite possibly be a preview of the NFC title game.  Packers 41, Eagles 38

New England at Indianapolis--A few years ago, my buddy Dave and I went to Indy for the Pats/Colts game when they were both 7-0 or something.  It was Manning vs. Brady in one of the most epic games of that rivalry and New England won.  We sat next to James Sanders' (S for Pats) family and were high-fiving his parents.  Why do I say this?  Because this could quite possibly be a preview of the AFC title game, and Luck vs. Brady is pretty freaking cool too.  Colts 30, Patriots 27

Pittsburgh at Tennessee--And then we have yet another Monday night clunker.  Look at this slate of games in Week 11.  You mean to tell me you guys couldn't have picked a better one?  Sheesh.  Steelers 26, Titans 17

Friday, November 7, 2014

NFL picks--Week 10

Last week: 9-4
Season record: 89-45

okay so since I didn't get these picks up on Thursday, let me just say for the record that I absolutely would not have picked the Browns to win.  Not that I gave them no chance, but the Bengals are usually money at home.  But I'm sure going to be interested in the Browns and more likely to pick them after that utter annihilation.  On to the rest of the games.....

Kansas City at Buffalo--Halfway home, these two teams are 5-3, and the Browns are 6-3.  I just checked out my window and the sky isn't falling.  Chiefs 20, Bills 17

Miami at Detroit--The Lions are quietly leading the AFC North at 6-2 despite Calvin Johnson being injured.  This is definitely a team to watch.  The Dolphins at 5-3 are also a team to watch.  (nope, sky is still in its place).  Lions 19, Dolphins 13

Dallas vs. Jacksonville at London--Will Tony Romo and his broken back bones play?  It appears there is a good chance, but I really really find it hard to believe.  And if he doesn't play (or if he does and is terrified of getting hit), I gotta be honest--the Jags are going to steal this game.  Jaguars 23, Cowboys 20

San Francisco at New Orleans--Okay, so one place the sky may really be falling is San Francisco.  At 4-4 and coming off a devastating loss to the Rams at home, they now go into the Superdome as the Saints have woken up.  Saints 31, Niners 27

Tennessee at Baltimore--The Titans visit the LAST PLACE Ravens, who are 5-4 and will soon be 6-4 to kick the 5-3-1 Bengals into last place.  Yikes.  Ravens 31, Titans 10

Pittsburgh at NY Jets--This is just the kind of game the Jets will fall backwards into a win.  Then again, nahh.  Steelers 24, Jets 14

Atlanta at Tampa Bay--The 2-6 Falcons have lost five straight since beating the Bucs 56-14.  And so, guess what?  The Bucs will return the favor.  Well, maybe not by scoring 56 points.  Bucs 27, Falcons 26

Denver at Oakland--This game may be surprisingly close, but let's face it--the Raiders are 0-8 and the Broncos cannot afford another loss.  Broncos 27, Raiders 16

St. Louis at Arizona--Two stout defenses and the Rams are surprising folks and turning heads with wins over Seattle and San Fran.  But the Cards' D is too good for St. Louis.  Cards 16, Rams 6

NY Giants at Seattle--Oh yikes.  My Giants are looking flat awful lately, and now they get to visit the defending champs.  Seattle may be vulnerable lately, but let's be real here--this is gonna be ugly.  Seahawks 38, Giants 17

Chicago at Green Bay--The Bears are falling fast and it's going to be cold on Sunday night at the Tundra.  Packers 41, Bears 24

Carolina at Philadelphia--Mark Sanchez?  Yes, and he's going to win another one and maybe more.  Which is going to have Jets' fans really pulling their collective hair out.  Eagles 30, Panthers 17